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Current PEW CENTER data on both parties, congress, Pres. Obama and issues

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« on: July 25, 2015, 12:47:10 pm »

GOP s Favorability Rating Takes a Negative Turn Pew Research Center


Lots of details in this very well written survey.

First, the GOP's image has taken a hit, and not just with D's or I's, but with R's as well.

Overall:



Favorability:

Democratic Party: 48 fav / 47 unfav, fav +1
Republican Party: 32 fav / 60 unfav, fav -28

Quote
Republicans, in particular, are now more critical of their own party than they were a few months ago. About two-thirds (68%) express a favorable opinion of their party, the lowest share in more than two years. Six months ago, 86% of Republicans viewed the GOP positively.

That quote is also represented by this graphic:





On Issues:



Encouraging for the Republicans should be the polling result that shows that the public is pretty much split as to which party is better on Immigration (Reform, I assume). Likewise, the DEMS should be encouraged that the same applies to taxes, an area where the Republican Party was once considered far more reliable.

Exremely encouraging for the Republicans is the +10 margin over "terrorist threat". The Democratic Party used to be at parity with the GOP on this point. But equally encouraging for the Democrats should be the +10 margin in the rubrik of "Health Care".

But back to immigration: there is a huge racial AND age gap on this issue:



I think those numbers speak for themselves, but the figures are interesting as Latinos as a group alone were not polled.

Congress as a whole, fav/unfav:



US Congress (both Houses): fav 25 / unfav 69, fav -24

Interestingly enough, such harsh disapproval of Congress runs across all party lines and the data is very uniform:



Actually, that's kind of amazing statistic in many ways.


President Obama gets some bad grades from the American people:

Quote
Obama’s job approval rating is little changed over the first half of 2015, with Americans about equally likely to say they approve of his performance (48%) as disapprove (45%).


And, more specific:



The President has taken a pretty major hit on Foreign Policy and he is also not doing well on Climate Change at all. What should be encouraging for him are the health care numbers, which, although still negative (-4), are a great improvement over the last year.

According to Pew, most Americans don't think that Pres. Obama is tough enough on Foreign Policy:




So, in a nutshell, the Democratic Party as a whole is doing better than the Republican Party, the Congress itself, as a total entity, has crappy numbers, and Obama's numbers are middling to mediocre.

This is a good way to learn what the Pew Center is all about and how it ticks:

About Pew Research Center Pew Research Center
« Last Edit: July 25, 2015, 12:48:47 pm by Statistikhengst » Report Spam   Logged

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« Reply #1 on: July 25, 2015, 01:24:16 pm »

And just on a comparative note, how did PEW do in the 2012 elections?  Well, it's last poll was released on November 4th, 2012, with 2,709 LV respondents, MoE = +/-2.2

Obama 50 / Romney 47, Obama +3

Actual result:

Obama 51.01% / Romney 47.15%, Obama +3.86%

So, Pew was off one point to the Right in it's final poll, but the Romney topline was right on the mark and Pew picked the winner.

Pew, Angus Reid (out of Canada), ABC/ WAPO and Democracy Corps (D) were the only pollsters with traditional methodology who got it close to the mark in their national end-polling for 2012.

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« Reply #2 on: July 26, 2015, 01:33:15 am »

I thought Obama's numbers on the issues, as well as his overall favorable numbers, went up after the latest successes?
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« Reply #3 on: July 26, 2015, 10:01:12 am »

I thought Obama's numbers on the issues, as well as his overall favorable numbers, went up after the latest successes?

Not much, but that is pretty usual for US politics in the 21st century, if you ask me.
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